The global economy does not need a “collapse” in order to bring inflation back to target and return to sustainable growth, according to Steven Wieting, chief investment strategist and chief economist at Citi Global Wealth.

Major economies have proven surprisingly resilient to sharp interest rate increases from central banks over the last two years. This has been particularly evident in the U.S., with recession thus far avoided and the labor market remaining robust.

Talk has now turned to rate cuts as inflation remains on a downward trajectory toward central banks’ targets, while growth has slowed.

Wieting told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Monday that he is optimistic the global economy does not need an “economic collapse” to rein in inflation.

“We had one massive shock — one pandemic, one collapse. We didn’t need two recessions to ultimately cure our inflation problem,” he said.

“It’s holding down parts of our economy now — manufacturing and trade declines are happening around the world — but these are likely to bottom within the year.”

U.S. headline inflation came in at an annual 3.4% year-on-year in December, remaining above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target but down considerably from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022.

Investors will be closely watching Friday’s personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation figure, the Fed’s preferred metric, for further clues as to when the central bank will begin cutting rates.

Meanwhile, a preliminary estimate of fourth-quarter GDP is scheduled for Thursday, with the economy expected to have grown by 1.7%, its lowest rate since the 0.6% decline in the second quarter of 2022.

“This period of slower global growth and slowing employment growth in the United States we think can pass and lead to a healthier growth period if we take a look particularly at the next year and beyond, and that’s this year’s business for investors,” Wieting said.

He highlighted that while there is excess that needs to be worked out of the economy, this was not the result of a “true overheating” or prolonged “boom,” but instead of excess government fiscal stimulus related to the pandemic recovery that wasn’t going to be repeated.

“If you take a look at money supply in the United States, it declined 4% over the past year. Take a look at the 1970s, it was almost 10% growth for the entire decade, important prices surging 14% every single year — that’s … sustained inflation,” Wieting said.

“This story with just all of this government spending coming and going — upheaval in supply and demand, consumer spending going up or down 30% between goods and services, during the pandemic period — that’s not the environment we’re in any longer.”

The surge of deposits moving from smaller banks to big institutions including JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo amid fears over the stability of regional lenders has slowed to a trickle in recent days, CNBC has learned.

Uncertainty caused by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank earlier this month triggered outflows and plunging share prices at peers including First Republic and PacWest.

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The situation, which roiled markets globally and forced U.S. regulators to intervene to protect bank customers, began improving around March 16, according to people with knowledge of inflows at top institutions. That’s when 11 of the biggest American banks banded together to inject $30 billion into First Republic, essentially returning some of the deposits they’d gained recently.

“The people who panicked got out right away,” said the person. “If you haven’t made up your mind by now, you are probably staying where you are.”

The development gives regulators and bankers breathing room to address strains in the U.S. financial system that emerged after the collapse of SVB, the go-to bank for venture capital investors and their companies. Its implosion happened with dizzying speed this month, turbocharged by social media and the ease of online banking, in an event that’s likely to impact the financial world for years to come.

Within days of its March 10 seizure, another specialty lender Signature Bank was shuttered, and regulators tapped emergency powers to backstop all customers of the two banks. Ripples from this event reached around the world, and a week later Swiss regulators forced a long-rumored merger between UBS and Credit Suisse to help shore up confidence in European banks.

The dynamic has put big banks like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs in the awkward position of playing multiple roles simultaneously in this crisis. Big banks are advising smaller ones while participating in steps to renew confidence in the system and prop up ailing lenders like First Republic, all while gaining billions of dollars in deposits and being in the position of potentially bidding on assets as they come up for sale.

The broad sweep of those money flows are apparent in Federal Reserve data released Friday, a delayed snapshot of deposits as of March 15. While large banks appeared to gain deposits at the expense of smaller ones, the filings don’t capture outflows from SVB because it was in the same big-bank category as the companies that gained its dollars.

Although inflows into one top institution have slowed to a “trickle,” the situation is fluid and could change if concerns about other banks arise, said one person, who declined to be identified speaking before the release of financial figures next month. JPMorgan will kick off bank earnings season on April 14.

At another large lender, this one based on the West Coast, inflows only slowed in recent days, according to another person with knowledge of the matter.

JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo representatives declined to comment for this article.

The moves mirror what one newer player has seen as well, according to Brex co-founder Henrique Dubugras. His startup, which caters to other VC-backed growth companies, has seen a surge of new deposits and accounts after the SVB collapse.

“Things have calmed down for sure,” Dubugras told CNBC in a phone interview. “There’s been a lot of ins and outs, but people are still putting money into the big banks.”

The post-SVB playbook, he said, is for startups to keep three to six months of cash at regional banks or new entrants like Brex, while parking the rest at one of the four biggest players. That approach combines the service and features of smaller lenders with the perceived safety of too-big-to-fail banks for the bulk of their money, he said.

“A lot of founders opened an account at a Big Four bank, moved a lot of money there, and now they’re remembering why they didn’t do that in the first place,” he said. The biggest banks haven’t historically catered to risky startups, which was the domain of specialty lenders like SVB.

Dubugras said that JPMorgan, the biggest U.S. bank by assets, was the largest single gainer of deposits among lenders this month, in part because VCs have flocked to the bank. That belief has been supported by anecdotal reports.

For now, attention has turned to First Republic, which has teetered in recent weeks and whose shares have lost 90% this month. The bank is known for its success in catering to wealthy customers on the East and West coasts.

Regulators and banks have already put together a remarkable series of measures to try to save the bank, mostly as a kind of firewall against another round of panic that would swallow more lenders and strain the financial system. Behind the scenes, regulators believe the deposit situation at First Republic has stabilized, Bloomberg reported Saturday.

First Republic has hired JPMorgan and Lazard as advisors to come up with a solution, which could involve finding more capital to remain independent or a sale to a more stable bank, said people with knowledge of the matter.

If those fail, there is the risk that regulators would have to seize the bank, similar to what happened to SVB and Signature, they said. A First Republic spokesman declined comment.

While the deposit flight from smaller banks has slowed, the past few weeks have exposed a glaring weakness in how some have managed their balance sheets. These companies were caught flat-footed as the Fed engaged in its most aggressive rate hiking campaign in decades, leaving them with unrealized losses on bond holdings. Bond prices fall as interest rates rise.

It’s likely other institutions will face upheaval in the coming weeks, Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser said during an interview on Wednesday.

“There could well be some smaller institutions that have similar issues in terms of their being caught without managing balance sheets as ably as others,” Fraser said. “We certainly hope there will be fewer rather than more.”

Goldman Sachs on Monday posted profit and revenue that exceeded analysts’ estimates as fixed income traders generated roughly $700 million more revenue than expected.

Here’s what the company reported compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by Refinitiv:

Earnings per share: $7.73 vs. $6.58 expectedRevenue: $11.86 billion vs. $10.86 billion expected

Second-quarter profit fell 48% to $2.79 billion, or $7.73 a share, driven by industrywide declines in investment banking revenue. Still, the per share results were more than a dollar higher than the average analyst estimate reported by Refinitiv.

Revenue fell 23% to $11.86 billion, which was a full $1 billion more than analysts had expected, driven by a 55% surge in fixed income revenue.

The bank’s fixed income operations generated $3.61 billion in revenue, topping the $2.89 billion StreetAccount estimate. Goldman attributed the performance to “significantly higher” trading activity in interest rates, commodities and currencies. Equities revenue rose 11% to $2.86 billion, edging out the $2.68 billion StreetAccount estimate.

Goldman shares were up about 4% in premarket trading.

“We delivered solid results in the second quarter as clients turned to us for our expertise and execution in these challenging markets,” CEO David Solomon said in the release.

“Despite increased volatility and uncertainty, I remain confident in our ability to navigate the environment, dynamically manage our resources and drive long-term, accretive returns for shareholders,” he said.

Goldman tends to outperform other banks during periods of high volatility, as displayed by the firm’s strong fixed income results.

Similar to rivals including JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley who posted steep declines in second-quarter advisory revenue, Goldman said investment banking revenue dropped 41% to $2.14 billion, slightly higher than the $2.07 billion estimate. The firm blamed a sharp slowdown in equity and debt issuance in the quarter, one of the casualties of surging interest rates and declines across financial assets.

The bank said its deals backlog shrank compared with the first quarter, which could indicate that potential mergers and IPOs are being killed instead of being pushed back into future quarters.

Goldman also tends to benefit from rising asset prices through its various investment vehicles, and so broad declines in financial assets stung the firm in the quarter.

Asset management revenue fell 79% from a year earlier to $1.08 billion, edging out the $924.4 million estimate. The decline came from losses in publicly traded stocks and smaller gains in private equity holdings, the bank said.

“Macroeconomic concerns and the prolonged war in Ukraine continued to contribute to the volatility in global equity prices and wider credit spreads,” the bank noted.

Last week, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo also posted write-downs tied to declines in loan books or equity holdings.

Goldman’s consumer and wealth management revenue rose 25% to $2.18 billion, essentially matching analysts’ estimates, on rising management fees, credit card balances and deposits in its digital banking business.

Goldman shares have fallen 23% this year through Friday, worse than the 16% decline of the KBW Bank Index.

Last week, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo posted second-quarter profit declines as the banks set aside more funds for expected loan losses, while Morgan Stanley disappointed after a bigger-than-expected slowdown in investment banking. Citigroup topped expectations for revenue as it benefited from rising rates and strong trading results.